Posted by
Hig on Friday, August 21, 2009 6:14:28 AM
In the president's own words, the "vast majority" of Americans will be
able to keep their current insurance, the current doctor. (This is
correct, as far as it goes, but if the President were under oath to
"tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth", that
"whole truth" part would cause him to stumble. "Vast Majority" will be
able to keep their current care,
all other things being equal, which is not reality. More in a minute.)
So back to the "vast majority" item: if we take
the President's own estimate (final paragraph in linked item) of the number of uninsured, we're talking about roughly 15% of the
current US population.
Fine. 15% is fairly significant. But wait; there's more. The percentage has remained fairly consistent for ten years (it was
15% in 1998
also). But ten years ago, it's estimated that nearly half of that 15%
was uninsured for only a period of time (perhaps due to unemployment or
some other factor), rather than chronically uninsured. So that means
that really, only about 7.5% was chronically uninsured. Which means
that 7.5% of the population was uninsured by choice (as I was recently,
until a new employer's cost for insurance made economic sense for me to
opt in to their plan).
Let's factor in today's higher
unemployment rate, and let's say that 10% of the population is
chronically without insurance. That's 30.4 million. That means that 90%
of the current US population
doesn't need fixing.
So, where's the crisis?
I
know, I'm a cold-hearted son-of-a-gun, and I'm reducing this to logic,
and I'm without compassion. But let's remember that if I'm not taxed to
pay for someone else's health care (via the inherent inefficiencies of
government administration), I'm free to contribute my disposable income
to the charity I see as most capable of efficiently providing the
emergency or long-term care needed by someone who can't otherwise
obtain it, for whatever reason. (And yes: when my tax obligation was
lower than it is now, I was in fact contributing more to charities with
proven track records of successful provision to those in need.)
OK. So on to the "all other things being equal" section.
I've
heard small business owners say in very public forums that their
accountants have determined that the fine imposed by health care
legislation for not providing insurance is actually less than the cost
of health insurance mandated by the reform legislation being
considered... in some cases, over $30,000 per month less. Here's what
that means from an economic perspective: 70% of America's employers
likely will consider (whether they act on their consideration or not)
dropping their employees' health coverage, and opt to pay the fine.
That means those employees will want to get the "public option" that
President Obama does or does not want, depending on which day it is, or
which audience he's addressing, or some other random factor. That means
government costs go up. That means (in a Democrat administration) taxes
go up. (In a Republican administration, taxes would go down, because
Republicans, those right-wing hate-mongers, know that when you reduce
the penalty for production, production and consumerism increases, and
tax revenues actually go up.)
So if the President's health-care
reform is passed, people will lose their current insurance coverage and
doctor, and taxes will go up.
Not interested. Back to the drawing board.
Here's the big question no one has asked the President (at least, no one I've seen, heard, or read):
Mr President, if the "vast majority" (your words) of Americans are going to keep their current insurance plan under your legislation, where is the crisis? Aren't you a proponent of a "democracy"? Doesn't the "vast majority" of Americans constitute a "simple majority"? Doesn't the "simple majority" win? If that's so, why the big push to "reform health care/insurance"?
I hereby authorize Townhall.com to release my name and contact information to the office of the President of the United States for the purpose of contacting me to answer the question above.
Thanks.